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Telecom Valuation Discrepancy: Long RIMM, Short NOK

In discussing the state of the tech economy with an associate recently, the conversation quickly turned towards smartphones, and two of the most hated tech stocks of the last year, Nokia and Research in Motion. The chart above shows the Nasdaq-100 Index in green, RIMM in white and NOK in amber.  As can be seen, … Continue reading

Mutual Funds: Value Added or Value Destroyed?

A friend recently approached me because her employer was discontinuing one of its pension plans, and she wanted to know how her investments had performed and what she should do with her money.  I had no intentions of pitching her, but the more I described the pitfalls of mutual funds to her, we inadvertently discussed … Continue reading

UPDATE: Chart of the Day: January VIX Futures

Since recommending a short position on the January VIX futures contract, the market has moved favorably.  With today’s large rally in stocks underway, the VIX Index is at 21.84, and the January VIX futures contract is trading at 30.00.  When we recommended the short position, the futures contract was trading at 30.15, making for a … Continue reading

Chart of the Day: January VIX Futures

We have commented in the past on our preference to short volatility and express long positions on stocks by selling put options.  We executed this strategy with great success during the pullbacks of June and August.  However, there remains a potentially extremely profitable trade within the short volatility space. Shown below is a chart of … Continue reading

Chart of the Day: Natural Gas Futures

Shown above is the current 1 year chart of front month natural gas futures.  After bouncing just below the 4 level many times, natural gas rebounded all the way to above 5, before plummeting to new yearly lows at the 3.65 level.  However, since then it has ground higher in a slightly higher highs, higher … Continue reading

Featured Post: Where Will Stocks Go Next? S&P 500 Earnings Yield vs. 10 Year US Treasury

Originally sent to clients on August 25, 2010 We are bullish on US stocks, and have been slowly increasing our allocation to stocks during the pullback started in May.  Our view is that while US and global growth may moderate, it is not turning outright negative.   Many economists and investors are predicting a “double-dip” … Continue reading

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